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Aurizon’s (AZJ) Acquisition of One Rail Australia

Acquisitions

Aurizon Holdings Limited (AZJ), an Australian railway freight firm, embarked on a significant endeavor when it acquired One Rail Australia in 2020. This acquisition aimed to fortify Aurizon’s standing within the Australian rail and logistics sector. Nonetheless, this undertaking had its share of obstacles and risks. Initially, regulatory approvals were obligatory due to the concentration of rail assets involved in the transaction. Regulatory authorities meticulously assessed the deal to ensure it would not adversely affect competition or create a monopoly in the industry (Regulator et al., 2021). Additionally, integrating One Rail Australia’s operations into Aurizon’s existing network presented intricate challenges, encompassing logistical complexities and the need to manage operational synergies effectively.

Aurizon employed a blend of debt and equity to fund the acquisition of One Rail Australia. This strategic choice allowed the company to distribute financial responsibility over time and uphold a healthy balance sheet. While opting for debt helped leverage Aurizon’s existing assets and cash flows to facilitate the purchase, it amplified its overall debt load and the associated interest expenses (Aurizon Holdings Limited, 2023). The underlying economic rationale behind this acquisition revolved around consolidating Aurizon’s foothold in the railway and logistics sector, focusing on enhancing its competitive edge (Regulator et al., 2021). AZJ aimed to broaden its customer base, attain cost-efficiency gains through synergies, and diversify its revenue streams. These strategic goals emanated from the belief that a more extensive and more diversified business entity would be better equipped to withstand market fluctuations and deliver sustained value to its shareholders.

However, the market’s reaction to this acquisition was marked by sentiments and responses. While some investors and experts praised the strategic vision behind the purchase and saw it as a logical step toward industry dominance, others were wary of the integration difficulties and potential risks involved with such a sizable transaction. Aurizon’s stock price initially fluctuated slightly but then stabilized as the business succeeded in carrying out its integration plan and reaping synergies (Aurizon Holdings Limited, 2023). The capacity of Aurizon to effectively manage the integration process and capitalize on the recently acquired assets to spur growth and profitability ultimately determines the acquisition’s long-term viability.

Restructurings

Since 2014, the Australian rail freight business Aurizon Holdings Limited (AZJ) has undergone several restructuring initiatives, including asset sales and asset divestitures (Savelsbergh et al., 2015). The selling of their Queensland intermodal operation to Linfox in 2017 was one major divestiture (Sheehan, 2018). The intermodal business had started to deviate from its strategic goals. Therefore, they wanted to sell it to streamline their operations and concentrate on their primary business, rail freight. 2019, AZJ sold its 15% ownership in the Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal (WICET), another significant divestiture (Aurizon Holdings Limited, 2023). This action was part of a larger plan to lessen exposure to the coal market, which was unstable and experiencing a drop in demand.

Regulatory permissions, talks with buyers, and the need to provide a smooth transition for staff and clients were obstacles that AZJ had to overcome during these restructuring processes. It comprised a sizable share of the Australian freight market. Therefore, regulatory scrutiny was particularly important in selling the Queensland intermodal operation (NETWORK, 2018). It was necessary to negotiate favourable terms and pricing with buyers to get the most value from these divestitures for AZJ. Additionally, it took meticulous preparation and execution to manage the changeover of consumers and workers to the new owners while minimizing disruptions.

The economic justifications and justifications for these restructuring actions mainly centred on AZJ’s asset portfolio optimization and financial position improvement. AZJ sought to free up cash that might be invested in its core rail freight activities or used to pay down debt by divesting non-core assets and businesses. Furthermore, reducing exposure to the coal market was a strategic response to the industry’s uncertainties and the global shift towards cleaner energy sources (Aurizon Holdings Limited, 2023). These actions were intended to enhance the company’s resilience and financial flexibility in a changing market environment.

The restructurings had a mixed impact on AZJ’s assets and value. On one hand, divestments generated cash proceeds that could be strategically deployed elsewhere, potentially boosting the overall value of the company in the long term. On the other hand, selling assets meant reducing the size and diversity of AZJ’s asset portfolio, which could impact its revenue and profit potential (NETWORK, 2018). The sale of the intermodal business and the WICET stake, for example, reduced the company’s exposure to certain markets but also led to a decrease in revenue associated with those assets (Aurizon Holdings Limited, 2023). The ultimate effect on AZJ’s value depended on how well it managed the capital generated from these divestments and whether it could effectively capitalize on its core rail freight operations to drive growth and profitability.

Weighted Average Cost of Capital

The current AZJ’s risk-free rate is 4.03% (Aurizon Holdings Limited, 2023).

Market risk premium = Average Market Return − Risk-Free Rate

= (0.387005 – 4.03) %

= -3.642995%

Applying the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) formula:

Cost of Equity (Re) = Risk-free Rate + Beta × Market Risk Premium

= 4.03 + (-0.00045) × (-3.642995)

= 4.031639%

The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is obtained by combining the cost of equity with the cost of debt and the respective weights of equity and debt:

WACC = (VE×Re) + (VD× Rd × (1 − T))

Where:

  • E = Market value of equity
  • V = Total firm value (E + D)
  • D = Market value of debt
  • Rd = Cost of debt
  • T = Tax rate

Currently, AJZ’s market capitalization (E) is A$6626.534 Mil. As of Jun. 2023, the total Book Value of Debt (D) was A$4252.95 Mil (Aurizon Holdings Limited, 2023).

V = E + D

= A$6626.534 Mil + A$4252.95 Mil

= A$10879.484 Mil

As of Jun. 2023, Aurizon Holdings’s interest expense was A$227 Mil (Aurizon Holdings Limited, 2023).

Cost of Debt (Rd) = 227 / 4252.95 = 5.3375%.

The latest AZJ’s Two-year Average Tax Rate is 31.615%

WACC = (10879.484/6626.534 ×4.031639%) + (10879.484/4252.95 × 5.3375% × (1 − 31.615%))

= 0.06619+ 0.09337

=0.15956

=15.956%

In comparing the estimates of AZJ’s Beta and WACC to those of other financial analysts, there are some notable differences. First, the calculated Beta of -0.00045 suggests a negative correlation with the market, which is quite unusual and may be a result of data anomalies or inaccuracies in the historical stock price data used for Beta estimation. Negative Betas are uncommon and typically indicate an asset that moves inversely to the market (Authority, 2013). Second, the calculated WACC of 15.96% is notably higher than average market rates, which could be attributed to the higher cost of debt (5.34%) and a relatively low Beta, both of which increase the cost of equity in the CAPM formula. The tax rate assumption of 31.615% is reasonable for an Australian company but could also be subject to variations based on specific circumstances. Differences in Beta calculations, data sources, or methodologies for estimating the cost of equity and debt may explain variations in WACC estimates among other financial analysts (Savelsbergh et al., 2015). It’s essential to validate the accuracy of data and assumptions to ensure the reliability of such calculations in practical decision-making.Top of Form

References

Aurizon Holdings Limited (2023). 2022 – 2023 annual report. Available at: https://company-announcements.afr.com/asx/azj/c3ef38fa-3a3e-11ee-9237-1a26ba8f32a8.pdf

Authority, Q. C. (2013). Aurizon Network Pty Ltd.

NETWORK, Q. E. U. (2018). Queensland Competition Authority.

Regulator, E., Fallon, J., Cunningham, M., & da Silva Rosa, R. (2021). Methodological issues in estimating the equity beta for Australian network energy businesses.

Savelsbergh, M., Waterer, H., Dall, M., & Moffiet, C. (2015). Possession assessment and capacity evaluation of the Central Queensland Coal Network. EURO Journal on Transportation and Logistics4(1), 139-173.

Sheehan, K. (2018). Executive remuneration in listed Companies and wage setting. WAGES CRISIS, 143.

 

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