Population Growth Rate in British Columbia
Any region’s population will fluctuate for a diverse range of reasons, including social, economic, political, and environmental aspects. The prospective population of a research region can be forecasted by studying the demographic tendencies. The population census is conducted after a predetermined period, so the yearly growth rate is utilized to examine demographic behaviours. The population growth rate is derived from the current and previous years’ data. This paper interprets demographic data and charts of the three school districts (SDs): Abbotsford, Delta, and North Vancouver. The population trends and patterns have been used to predict demographic behaviours in the future.
The population trend and projections from 1986-2041
In the 1980s, North Vancouver SD reported the most significant demographic census, while Abbotsford SD had the lowest population. According to the demographic data, Abbotsford SD’s population growth began strongly and briefly fell to 1.1% in 2011. The significant influx of immigrants into the area is blamed for the SD’s population growth (Mayaud et al., 2019). In 2021, the rate will increase to 2.1%. The population growth rate is steadily decreasing, reaching 1% towards the conclusion of the forecast period, according to the trend over the previous year. The population of Abbotsford SD has steadily increased and currently outnumbers that of North Vancouver SD. The populations of Delta and North Vancouver SDs have barely changed. Between 2001 and 2011, population growth in the two areas was constant.
According to the demographic information gathered in 2006, the populations of Delta and North Vancouver SD decreased. A poor growth rate in Delta SD eventually decreased negatively in 2006. In the following two census periods, which end in 2016, the population growth rate then increases to 1.1%. In 2021, the rate decreased once again to 0.9%. Up until the conclusion of the projection period, according to an analysis of the trend in population growth in Delta SD, the growth rate will swing. Lack of residential houses during this time period in Delta and North Vancouver shunned people from residing there resulting in negative population growth (Mayaud et al., 2019). In a nutshell, the economic downfall could not allow people to stay any longer.
In the next two census eras, which ended in 2016, the population growth rate then rose to 1.1%. In 2021, the rate decreased once again to 0.9%. Up until the conclusion of the projection period in 2041, according to an analysis of the trend in population growth in Delta SD, the growth rate will fluctuate. The population growth will be stimulated by availability of affordable housing schemes since 2020 (Jacques, 2022).The population of the three school districts is expected to slowly grow through the year 2041. It is anticipated that Abbotsford will experience a moderate population increase. Another possibility is sustained population expansion in the Delta.
Analysis of Population Pyramids
Population pyramid of Kwantlen School District
According to the population pyramids, there are an equal number of male and female residents in the Kwantlen college area. Just 6% of the population in Kwantlen is over 80 years old, with most residents aged between 30 and 69. The overall population’s median age is 40.3 years old. Due to the abundance of educational facilities in the area, the population is primarily young. The largest population in the area may be made up of students. For the population in middle age, the area offers a variety of career prospects (Bezy, 2020). Due to its evenly dispersed age range, the population is diversified. Due to its evenly dispersed age range, the population is diversified. A sizable section of the population between the ages of 30 and 60 is drawn to the activities that the Kwantlen region’s numerous social amenities and recreation facilities offer.
Population distribution in Selkirk college region
The pyramid shows a uniform distribution of the middle-aged population. According to the demographic, the highest population of both males and females is found in the 60-69 age range. A large section of the population is getting close to retirement age, which could contribute to a lack of labor resources. The region also has a marginal maternity rate, which lowers the birth rate (Bezy, 2020). The average age of the population is 40.9 years old. Many career prospects in the Selkirk area are to blame for the high mid-age population there. 24% of the population is made up of individuals between the ages of 25 and 44. Most people in the population are above 45. 16.7% of the population is between the ages of 45 and 65, while 13% of those over the age of 85
References
Bezy, J. M. (2020). Population pyramid | sociology | Britannica. In Encyclopædia Britannica. https://www.britannica.com/topic/population-pyramid
Mayaud, J. R., Tran, M., Pereira, R. H. M., & Nuttall, R. (2019). Future access to essential services in a growing smart city: The case of Surrey, British Columbia. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 73, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2018.07.005
Jacques, I. (2022, February 14). Profile for Ian Jacques. Delta Optimist. https://www.delta-optimist.com/writers/ianjacques
write